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Old 2020-07-16, 02:17 PM   #6
hincapie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JustRobert View Post
Good Day
Listened to a poll report that stated only leads in educated whites and more so with un-educated whites.
I was just finishing an article predicting victory ...

9% lead nationally for Biden - with MrB partly incapable or unwilling to actively campaign, a smear campaign beyond belief coming up, a less than exciting very elderly democrat with a likely pick of a VP without swaying power (hello Kamela) ... it all makes it more likely than not the race will tighten several % before november - and if it does disproportionately in battleground states (which is likely as s focus will be there) it will get extremely narrow electorally quickly.

Give Biden a 3% lead instead & deduct even just those 6% from his leads in places such as Florida, North Carolina and Wisconsin - and those are very close to a win for ...and places like Arizona would be out of reach for Biden.

If that happens Wisconsin will be the tipping point state. will reach 269 if he wins Wisconsin (while Biden wins Pennsylvania, Michigan etc where he has a slightly bigger lead).

But of course, that is nothing to hope for - and the phophet of doom might as always be too stoned to operative crystal ball
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